Dear Readers: Though it is being touted as a “Tea Party” success, the panic-filled passage of the debt ceiling bill, in reality, is A SANDWICH THAT EVEN SATAN WOULDN’T WANT TO EAT.
The biggest point I wish to make is that though I was wrong — and a bill was passed — I will still be right at the end result. The Tea Party will be blamed when the credit-rating goes down and the quasi-depression continues. This bill did NOTHING to solve the core problems of big government strangulation of the free market and personal liberties. So, when the economy goes even further down the crapper, the “Tea Party Deal” will be blamed.
This is NOT a “Tea Party Win“.
Here is a savvy analysis for one of the Shrine’s dearest friends:
A. Known
1. 43% of what we now spend is debt
2. Next year our budget goes up 8% (and the year after that 8% and ….)
3. Our GDP growth is now below 2% but is assumed by CBO to be 3% going forward; but we may actually have a double dip recession
4. The budget cut next year is a whopping $22B (about what we spend in 2 DAYS total)
5. The real purported cuts do not happen for 5 years
6. If the cuts are made—you can assess the probability–we will need to borrow only $7-8T and not $10T over 10 years
7. Our debt will go from 70% of GDP to 90% (see Japan) with no end in sight; would hit 1.4 in mid 20teens if growth is <2% (see Greece)
8. The lower/zero income folks fall deeper into the abyssB. Probable
1. The chance that growth will exceed estimates: zero
2. The chance that tax revenue will be less than anticipated: 100%
3. The chance that we have underestimated the challenges of the global economy: 100%
4. The chance that of new risky adventures by foreign friends and foe: 100%C. Remarks
The MSM only talked about the "default", which was not going to happen, rather than the consequences from the above.
We will see if the new debt committee can do something about entitlements, tax reform, pork, union pensions, and regulations. You can estimate the odds. Meanwhile there is no discussion about education reform to meet the challenge of global competition in a high tech world, infrastructure for economic growth, and real energy independence.
Fellow SLOB, W.C. Varones, has a related take: Bill Gross: the debt deal is a complete fraud and the U.S. is still going to screw bondholders
* Nothing in the Congressional compromise reached over the weekend makes a significant dent in our $1.5 trillion deficit.
* In addition to an existing nearly $10 trillion of outstanding Treasury debt, the U.S. has a near unfathomable $66 trillion of future liabilities at “net present cost.”
* Aside from outright default, there are numerous ways a government can reduce its future liabilities. They include balancing the budget, unexpected inflation, currency depreciation and financial repression.
I was talking to my brother today. He and I both concur — we will never see a penny of Social Security or Medicare. We wish we didn’t have to pay into it — but are willing to do so to take care of our mom’s generation and not have such burdensome costs passed onto our children. We resent being lied to on all counts by both parties in Washington D.C.
Another SLOB, B-daddy, says this is merely a skirmish in the long war. Like my beloved husband Horemheb, B-daddy says Obama is tone deaf — especially in today’s call to raise taxes. I can only hope my fellow Americans have truly been paying attention to the real numbers and the true fiscal condition of this country, which has Russia’s Vladimir Putin calling us “parasites”.
As Tea Party Patriot’s Mark Meckler noted in a Der Spiegel piece: We have compromised our way into disaster.(MUT Note: This article is fabulous, and a must-read for anyone concerned about what is actually occurring in Washington DC).
Meckler: This debate is not about taxes. This is a question of spending. There is no amount of taxes that we could raise that would stop our deficit spending caused by politicians who have lied so often.
As (San Diego Tea Party group) SoCal Tax Revolt Coaltion’s Sarah Bond noted, the Ruling Class “Cry Wolf” tactics have led to some of the worst legislation America has ever passed: Stimulus and Obamacare. To rework a famous quote: Legislate in Haste, Repent at Leisure.
I am hoping that we Tea Party people and citizen activists give the “Ruling Class” elites who promulgated this atrocity plenty of leisure time in 2012.
Definitely a satan sandwich, but the tea party won’t be blamed. The bill was the lovechild of the democrats and establishment republicans. Tea party congressmen voted against.
They will of course try to blame the Tea Party, but at this point the distinction between “We The People” and “I The Government” is becoming evident to even the most ignorant.
We are at a point that Federal power is either unstoppable or unsustainable. The question is, will elitists become so empowered that they no longer need to buy votes or will the house of cards collapse first. Will the dependency class become slaves and surfs or will the elitists be revealed as frauds and criminals?
Agree with Shane. This is clearly a Boner-Reid-Obama deal and they will get the blame. The Tea Party wanted real cuts and real reform, the lack of which is the problem with this bill.
I agree with Shane. The public knows the Tea Party wanted real cuts, and this bill has nothing to do with the Tea Party. This is all on Boner, Reid, and Obama.
Did you see the market reaction? Stocks down hard and gold up $40, more than I can recall it ever being up in a single day.
No blame for the tea party. Barry owns this economy and everyone knows it.
I hope my fellow SLOBS are right on this one. This is one time I wouldn’t mind being wrong.
Hate to be a downer, guys, but Leslie is usually right…already seeing signs from the left of this deal as a Tea Party ‘victory http://www.npr.org/2011/08/03/138931635/after-debt-deal-the-tea-party-has-staying-power